Traders and
market analysts use various indicators and ratios to determine the value of the
stocks, assets, commodities, and currencies with which they engage. When it
comes to Bitcoin, however, things are a bit different.
Because of
its nature and the fact that it’s the world’s first fully functional digital
currency, there are differences which must be accounted for.
For example,
when individuals trade stocks, they take advantage of the so-called P/E Ratio,
or Price-to-Earnings Ratio. It measures a stock’s current share price relative
to its per-share earnings.
With
Bitcoin, however, this is hardly applicable because it’s not a stock. There is
something similar, though, and it’s called the NVT Ratio.
What
is the Bitcoin NVT Ratio?
Bitcoin’s
NVT Ratio, also known known as Bitcoin’s Network Value To Transaction Ratio, indicates
whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued.
The ratio represents
the cryptocurrency’s Network Value ( Which is its current market capitalization)
and the transaction volume that’s transmitted through Bitcoin’s Blockchain over
a period of 24 hours. That’s perhaps why some people actually refer to NVT ratio
as Bitcoin’s P/E Ratio. It’s because it uses the value which flows through the
network as a proxy for company earnings.
How to
Calculate the Bitcoin NVT Ratio:
It’s
actually fairly easy to calculate Bitcoin’s NVT Ratio. You just have to divide
its current market capitalization by the USD volume transacted over its
blockchain over the past 24 hours.
The data is
easily accessible. You can find the market cap on websites such as CoinGecko,
and the transaction volume on websites such as blockchain.com.
Keep in mind
that using data from different tracking websites will probably give you
different NVT ratios because the data displayed there could vary.
The person
who conceptualized Bitcoin’s NVT Ratio is popular independent crypto researcher
and analyst Willy Woo.
However,
it’s also worth noting that Bitcoin’s market cap can vary significantly due to
its extreme volatility. The volume transacted on the network can also vary, and
that’s why there’s another ratio called the Bitcoin NVT Signal or Bitcoin NVTS.
What
is the Bitcoin NVTS?
Bitcoin’s
NVTS is almost the same as the NVT ratio, but it’s actually more accurate and
responsive. In order to determine the ratio, all you need to do is divide
Bitcoin’s market cap by its 90-day transaction volume.
The NVTS
Ratio was conceptualized by the chief research officer at Cryptolab Capital, Dmitry
Kalichkin.
Kalichkin,
however, acknowledges the limitations of these indicators because they don’t
factor in the number of transactions or the number of active daily addresses.
How to
Use the Bitcoin NVT Ratio:
Just like
any indicator, the NVT Ratio can provide valuable information which could
impact your decision-making process.
As we
explained earlier, its main purpose is determining whether Bitcoin is
undervalued or overvalued. The indicator could potentially tell you whether
it’s time to sell as the asset is severely overpriced and a correction is
coming, or to buy because its value is not yet represented in its price.
There are
various theories as to when the NVT is indicative of the state of the market
and how best to use it, but ultimately the decision is yours.
Some
analysts suggest that Bitcoin is in bubble territory when the NVT Ratio is 95
or above. In order for the ratio to be high, Bitcoin’s market cap must
substantially outweigh its transaction volume, potentially signaling that the
price is unjustifiably inflated. Naturally, the opposite can also be true.
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